This page is not available in your language. We could propose the french version. "Migration and Global Environmental Change - Future Challenges and Opportunities"
| François Gemenne |
| Foresight, 2011. |
Parution du rapport Foresight sur les migrations environnementales, commandé par le gouvernement britannique (Government Office for Science).
Contributon de François Gemenne : "Existing estimates of ‘numbers of environmental migrants’ tend to be based on one or two sources" (p. 28)
Présentation du rapport [en anglais] :
"This report considers migration in the context of environmental change over the next 50 years. The scope of this report is international: it examines global migration trends, but also internal migration trends particularly within low-income countries, which are often more important in this context. The report has the following key conclusions:
- Environmental change will affect migration now and in the future, specifically through its influence on a range of economic, social and political drivers which themselves affect migration. However, the range and complexity of the interactions between these drivers means that it will rarely be possible to distinguish individuals for whom environmental factors are the sole driver (‘environmental migrants’).
- Powerful economic, political and social drivers mean that migration is likely to continue regardless of environmental change.
- The impact of environmental change on migration will increase in the future.
- The complex interactions of drivers can lead to different outcomes, which include migration and displacement.
- Environmental change is equally likely to make migration less possible as more probable.
- Consequently, in the decades ahead, millions of people will be unable to move away from locations in which they are extremely vulnerable to environmental change.
- Preventing or constraining migration is not a ‘no risk’ option."
>> Télécharger le rapport [en anglais] |
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- On the same topics
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Parc automobile et effet de serre, L. Cauret, Y. Crozet, R. Darbera, D. Faudry, N. Golovtchenko, F. Mirabel, J. Nicolas, M. Zelem, B. Simon. n°12, 2001
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