Presentation
This Study examines four contrasting scenarios for the three main French meat production sectors (beef, pork and poultry) by 2035. It uses modeling tools that incorporate the biophysical impacts of production systems and the structural evolution of farms and agri-food industries based on technical and economic indicators to assess the strengths and weaknesses of each scenario.
Read the Methodological Annex (in French)
Key Messages
- None of the scenarios (Business-as-usual, Efficiency First, Feed no Food, Rural Renaissance) fully addresses all of the issues currently under public debate concerning livestock farming in France.
- Three distinct demand trends were taken into account (Business-as-usual, TRAMe and TYFA to 2035), each of which was associated with all scenarios according to a matrix logic.
- The implementation of all scenarios, with the exception of the business-as-usual scenario, would require a profound change either in the political framework within which the French meat sector operates (Feed no Food and Rural Renaissance), or in the political instruments supporting livestock farming (Efficiency First, Feed no Food and Rural Renaissance), or even in the economic context conducive to investment (Efficiency First and Rural Renaissance).
