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Detailed assessments of the state of progress on GHG emission trends and targets can be expected in the lead-up to COP26, and we can already anticipate some of the headline conclusions: Firstly, country commitments as reflected in enhanced Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) will be insufficient to put the world on track to achieve the collective “well below 2°C”. Furthermore, concrete policies and actions adopted by countries on the ground will not be sufficient to achieve these NDC targets. These headline conclusions will be very important to guide the conversations at COP26, highlighting to the general public the need to further accelerate action and exerting pressure on negotiators to reach a COP26 decision that reflects the imperative of this acceleration

With this event, however, we are presenting a report that adopts a different, complementary, perspective on climate ambition. It seeks to guide effectively the progressive increase of ambition, as organized by the cycles process of the Paris Agreement. To this aim, it open the box of emission pathways, by considering the multidimensional feasibility conditions that will enable the required far-reaching and systemic transformation towards the long-term goal. This requires to move away from a purely global perspective to reflect the heterogeneous nature of transformations and the multi-faceted aspects of transitions in different sectors and countries. The analysis of the report is therefore primarily conducted through the lens of country and sector perspectives, with the objective to assess progress made and identify remaining critical blocking points and obstacles that would need to be overcome in order to improve the capacity of the country or the sector to align its ambition with the Paris Agreement mitigation objective.

On the one hand, the report analyses whether there are clear, concrete and credible signs of progress suggesting that the Paris Agreement process can be effective to achieve its collective goals. It does so by providing a record and analysis of what progress there has been at national and sectorial levels during the first cycle and what needs to be done during the second cycle. On the other hand, the report proposes an illustration for an implemented cross-cutting, bottom-up assessment of collective progress and projected ambition, two years before the 2023 Global Stocktake.


Moderator: Megan Darby, Editor of Climate Home News Climate Home NEws goodbanner

  • 2:00 – 2:05 Welcome by the moderator 
  • 2:05 – 2:15 Introduction by IDDRI
  • 2:15 – 2:45 Country and sectoral speakers
    Rodrigo Palma, Principal Investigator,  Energy Center at the University of Chile
    Chukwumerije Okereke, Professor, Alex-Ekwueme Federal University Ndufu-Alike (AEFUNAI), Nigeria
    Claire Healy, Director, the Washington DC Office of E3G
    Emily Hosek, Knowledge Analysis and Policy Advocacy at SLOCAT (Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport) 
    Amit Garg, Professor, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA)
  • 2:45 – 3:15 Responding panel:
    Micol Salmeri, Associate at 2050 Pathways Platform
    Tasneem Essop, International Executive Director at Climate Action Network (CAN)
    Monica Araya, Special Adviser to the High-Level Climate Action Champion for COP26 
    David Waskow, Director of WRI's International Climate Initiative
    Youba Sokona, Vice-Chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

  • 3:15 – 4:00 Panel discussion

  • 3:55 – 4:00 Closing by Megan Darby